Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.001014 0.001156 0.001298 0.001451 0.001610 0.001771 0.001944
2026-01-11 0.000793 0.000997 0.001208 0.001441 0.001689 0.001944 0.002224
2026-01-18 0.000620 0.000868 0.001133 0.001433 0.001759 0.002098 0.002476
2026-01-25 0.000443 0.000715 0.001018 0.001371 0.001762 0.002175 0.002640
2026-02-01 0.000320 0.000609 0.000945 0.001347 0.001799 0.002283 0.002833
2026-02-08 0.000234 0.000535 0.000902 0.001350 0.001862 0.002415 0.003048
2026-02-15 0.000170 0.000478 0.000872 0.001364 0.001933 0.002554 0.003268
2026-02-22 0.000122 0.000435 0.000855 0.001390 0.002015 0.002701 0.003495
2026-03-01 0.000071 0.000375 0.000811 0.001380 0.002053 0.002798 0.003663
2026-03-08 0.000027 0.000308 0.000752 0.001346 0.002061 0.002858 0.003790
2026-03-15 0.000008 0.000272 0.000730 0.001357 0.002119 0.002972 0.003974
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000230 0.000695 0.001349 0.002152 0.003057 0.004124
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000184 0.000661 0.001355 0.002220 0.003203 0.004365
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000133 0.000614 0.001343 0.002267 0.003325 0.004584
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000091 0.000570 0.001334 0.002316 0.003450 0.004805
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000041 0.000492 0.001273 0.002299 0.003497 0.004937
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000014 0.000444 0.001249 0.002326 0.003593 0.005124
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000002 0.000417 0.001251 0.002384 0.003726 0.005351
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000398 0.001265 0.002456 0.003872 0.005592
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000388 0.001290 0.002540 0.004032 0.005849
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000356 0.001280 0.002578 0.004137 0.006041
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000314 0.001247 0.002586 0.004204 0.006187
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000298 0.001258 0.002648 0.004335 0.006407